You Win Some...

I'm actually talking about my prediction about Drumheller-Stettler here, where after my obligatory disclaimer of ignorance about the riding, I then went and proved it by predicting a big gain for the Alberta Alliance. Instead, they dropped to fifth (!) place. while the Alberta Liberals finished second with about 14% (which is about the same share as the Alliance got in '04). This is interesting because it suggests that there's a somewhat significant segment of the population that is anti-PC and will vote for whatever party is most likely to challenge them. Something for PC analysts to think about when planning election strategy...

Still analyzing the poll-by-poll breakdown for Calgary-Elbow. More on that later...